The stock market rally showed strength Thursday, shrugging off a post-Fed pullback and weak earnings to move modestly higher.
Key Earnings Overnight
Apple stock rose modestly in overnight action on better-than-expected fiscal Q3 earnings and upbeat comments.
Amazon stock surged in extended trading. The e-commerce and cloud-computing giant topped revenue views.
FSLR stock rose modestly overnight after First Solar easily beat EPS views and also topped on sales. Shares spiked 15% Thursday as Congress made progress on legislation that includes solar and green-power incentives.
Intel stock plunged in extended action after the ailing chip giant missed Q2 views badly and slashed full-year estimates.
Roku stock crashed late after the streaming platform reported a wider-than-expected loss and fell short on revenue, citing a “significant slowdown” in advertising. Streaming hours watched edged lower vs. Q1. Roku also guided sharply lower in Q3. Roku stock is set to plunge to its worst levels since the March 2020 coronavirus lows.
Early Friday, Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), AstraZeneca (AZN) and AbbVie (ABBV) are on tap. AZN stock and AbbVie aren’t far from highs. XOM stock and Dow Jones giant Chevron are starting to rebound after a retreat.
Dow Jones Futures Today
Dow Jones futures rose less than 0.1% vs. fair value. S&P 500 futures climbed 0.6%. Nasdaq 100 futures jumped 1.3%. Apple stock and Intel are Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq components.
Stock Market Rally
The stock market rally fell soon after the open, but quickly strengthened, with the major indexes rising solidly.
U.S. GDP fell at a 0.9% annual rate, the second straight quarter of modestly declining economic activity. However, consumer spending remained positive. The data further eases Fed rate hike forecasts without signaling a massive slump.
A new push for a tax-and-spending bill that includes green provisions lifted solar stocks and other green-energy plays.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average popped 1% in Thursday’s stock market trading. The S&P 500 index rallied 1.2%. The Nasdaq composite gained 1.1%. The small-cap Russell 2000 gained 1.4%.
U.S. crude oil prices reversed lower, falling 0.9% to $96.42 a barrel.
The 10-year Treasury yield fell 5 basis points to 2.68%, hitting its lowest levels since April.
The odds of a 50-basis-point Fed rate hike on Sept. 21 rose to 76% from 60.5% on Wednesday and 40% on Tuesday. Markets are betting on a quarter-point move in November and then maybe a quarter point in December.
Among the best ETFs, the Innovator IBD 50 ETF (FFTY) rose 1.8%, while the Innovator IBD Breakout Opportunities ETF (BOUT) bounced 1.75%. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) gained 1.9%. The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) advanced 1.2%, with Intel stock a notable holding.
SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) advanced 0.75% and the Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE) jumped 2.7%. U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) edged up 0.5%. SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) popped 2.1%. The Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE) gained 0.6%, with Exxon and CVX stock both huge components. The Financial Select SPDR ETF (XLF) rose 0.7%. The Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) moved 0.6% higher.
Apple earnings fell 8%, but modestly topped views. Sales climbed 2% to $82.96 billion, slightly topping fiscal Q3 views. The iPhone giant expects revenue growth to accelerate despite “pockets of softness.”
Apple stock rose 3% overnight, signaling a possible move above the 200-day line.
Shares edged up 0.4% to 157.35 in Wednesday’s regular trading. AAPL stock has made a strong advance since hitting a 52-week low on June 16. The relative strength line is right at new highs. The RS line, the blue line in the charts provided, tracks a stock’s performance vs. the S&P 500 index.
Amazon earnings were a little confusing, with a $2 billion net loss clouded by various special factors. But revenue climbed 7% to $121.2 billion, topping views as Amazon Web Services revenue growth accelerated to 33%.
Amazon also gave bullish Q3 revenue.
AMZN stock spiked 14% in extended action, signaling a move toward its 200-day line. Shares rose 1.1% to 122.28 on Thursday. Amazon stock recently regained its 50-day line.
Market Rally Analysis
The stock market rally pulled back Thursday morning, with the Nasdaq down more than 1% intraday. But the major indexes quickly shook that off and moved higher. The Nasdaq moved above last week’s highs, after the Dow and S&P did so on Wednesday.
A pullback wouldn’t have been a surprise as a day two reaction to the Fed meeting after Wednesday’s big spike, and with the major indexes at some key technical levels. Weak earnings or guidance from Meta Platforms (META), Qualcomm (QCOM) and others also offered a reason for a retreat.
So the market action Thursday definitely showed strength.
The early June highs are the next market hurdle. A market pause for a few days or even weeks wouldn’t be bad. That would let some stocks form handles and let moving averages catch up.
Hershey (HSY) flirted with an early buy point on earnings while Rollins (ROL) broke out powerfully in a day two reaction to earnings. Carlisle (CSL) gapped out of a base on earnings while Quanta Services (PWR) broke out as part of the green power surge, but both are somewhat extended from their 50-day lines.
What To Do Now
The stock market rally is clearly showing more strength, while a massive week of news is nearly finished. Investors should be taking advantage by adding exposure. But do so prudently. There’s still the risk of individual shakeouts or the market hitting resistance.
Market and sector ETFs remain an attractive way to add exposure with a limited number of quality stocks in position.
Work on those watchlists.
Read The Big Picture every day to stay in sync with the market direction and leading stocks and sectors.
Please follow Ed Carson on Twitter at @IBD_ECarson for stock market updates and more.
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